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London rivals Chelsea and Tottenham are on the hunt for a new long-term manager and according to a data analysis team’s in-depth study, it is Mauricio Pochettino they should prioritise appointing.
With Graham Potter and Antonio Conte recently dismissed, Chelsea are being led by Frank Lampard until the end of the season, with Cristian Stellini fulfilling the same role at Spurs.
Both clubs have been linked with a range of different managers but the numbers point towards Pochettino as the best option.
Carteret Analytics combines the raw manager data with their own bespoke algorithms to come up with the Carteret Manager Rating, a tool used by football club decision-makers to assess the ability, quality and potential of prospective managerial appointments.
The complex analysis draws on managers’ performances over the past six seasons and is then weighted against expectations, strength of opposition sides and various other factors such as styles, and formations.
It is usually confidential information to assist football club leaders but they produced a bespoke insight on a number of big-name managers connected with the posts at Tottenham and Chelsea.
As well as Pochettino, these included, out-of-work Luis Enrique, Zinedine Zidane, Julian Nagelsmann and Brendan Rodgers, Roma boss Jose Mourinho, plus Conte and Potter – for comparison purposes – and former Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel, who has joined Bayern Munich after being linked with Spurs.
“In pure objective terms, if the recruitment teams at Chelsea and Tottenham want the best head coach from this list then the quantitative analysis suggests that Pochettino should be top of their list,” was the conclusion from Carteret Analytics.
“Pochettino offers better performance levels across a number of metrics than Conte and Potter, which suggests he would be a significant step up for both Tottenham and Chelsea,” says Carteret Analytics.
The Argentine is praised for his quick transitional play, shot creation ratio and the shot conversion rating of his teams. “Pochettino’s teams are incisive at periods within a match and this achieves exceptional results,” Carteret Analytics add.
The former Paris Saint-Germain head coach is also noted for his “excellent football intelligence”, scoring highly for ‘strategic intelligence’ – which reflects how a manager sets up his team – and ‘tactical command’ – which is focused on the success of in-game changes.
His ‘normalised Carteret manager rating’ score is below Tuchel’s and Conte’s – with his recent absence from the game since leaving PSG in the summer of 2022 playing a part in that.
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